Free Will
In the comments on
yellowmouser's journal here and here I engage the question of whether or not free will is an illusion (I think not). Updated to add: J argues against me here.
What are your thoughts on the question? Is it an interesting question or purely a polemic debate?
What are your thoughts on the question? Is it an interesting question or purely a polemic debate?

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So just ignore it.
Whereas, if we do have free will, and we end up deciding we don't, that's an *avoidable* error, which would have actual consequences.
I choose to avoid that error.
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:)
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Not that anywhere in the US is free of such idiots. But sometimes they don't dominate local culture quite so thoroughly.
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It's more frustrating, I think, to see young people at the college level, 18-24, who don't have an open mind. Isn't that the whole point of higher learning? To expand the regions of your own brain?
I have a brilliant instructor who is teaching his first dual enrollment course and he's never dealt with tenth graders before. He was telling me the other night how he doesn't think he'll be able to do it again, because the closed-mindedness in this area seems to be fostered in the local primary/secondary schools (which is an easily supportable position out here). He said, "I started the program with a sense of excitement and promise, and now I find myself fighting a sense of dread and dispair for our future when I see how these kids not only fail to flourish intellectually, but FIGHT it, at every turn!"
His assignments are joyfully open-ended, and he really wants to see you think. Apparently the students were so up in arms about "not being told what to write" that he had parents calling and telling him that he "wasn't teaching anything." It's so creepy and bizarre to me.
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It's not just rural hell-holes that have parents wanting more specific goals, though; suburban parents worried about their little darlings getting into the right college act just like that.
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pascal%27s_wager
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As debating points go, I find "What are we responsible for?" to be vague but less vague than talking about free will. That seems to be what
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If choose to believe we all live in an insanely large zippo lighter that contains the world and everything we know - it's just too large for us to perceive it.
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I think the question can be thought of from several different perspectives.
From one perspective, we can look at the laws of physics and what they tell us. They tell us that we don't exactly have free will unless you count quantum randomness and inscrutability as free will. And many people go that route and attribute a number of interesting mystical properties to quantum mechanics.
But a perspective I like is one I call the simulation perspective. Can we simulate you in entirety and predict exactly what you will do? In theory, yes, in actuality, no. And it will likely never be practical to do so. And even if it were, somehow managing to get an exact map of all your perceptions to make the prediction fully accurate is likely impossible.
So, in essence you have free will.
Now there are many gross predictions we can make about behavior based on detailed knowledge of brain chemistry and organization. But even those will often be wrong in detail.
Does that make sense?
Coming at it mechanistically...
Some areas of quantum theory and cosmology suggest that not only are all possible options for any given event simultaneously superimposed, all possible options are taken, splitting off nigh-infinite orthogonal universes every attosecond. Classic sci-fi idea, to step from one world to the next, with the only difference being one little thing that happened a second ago or two million years ago.
Now, if you follow that conceit, and scale it up to include macroscopic options and 'choices' and then examine free will in that context, free will doesn't exist. If me and me' and me'' choose options A, B and C simultaneously and now myriad universes exist for those three in parallel, then I don't have free will. I'm merely another agent that takes all possible options, much like any other muon or electron or uranium nucleus.
However, I, me (not me' or me'') am only aware of having made a choice for A. My consciousness, my awareness, follows only one path. That's not saying that me' doesn't think the exact same thing, that his consciousness only follows the path of B. But I'm not me', and I have no awareness of that realm, and so I cannot be mechanical or destined to make the choice of A, in my universe. It's not an illusion, for I am aware that I could have freely taken B or C, but I didn't, and it does not matter to me that me' and me'' made those choices.
Sure, if I were capable of perceiving all the pluripotent realities simultaneously, free will would be an illusion. But I'm here and now, and live within my one world.
Now, take another quantum possibility: that the infinite universes exist simultaneously at the moment of choice, but once the selection is made via probability, the worlds collapse into the one universe that we can perceive. In that case, random chance dictates the path of events below a conscious level, but the existence of a conscious mind changes things. Awareness of all the myriad possibilities is not the same as inhabiting all of them simultaneously, and our emotions and unconscious biases and prejudices weight each and every one of those possibilities. In this case, free will must exist for conscious beings to be able to function in, and affect, the world around them.
My two filthy coppers.
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I also believe in something like behavioral determinism. All that came before determined our "choices" today. The randomness of the universe makes it hard to predict what we'll do, and it's important to act as if we have a choice, but if we knew all the factors, we'd know what each person would do next.
And, as I also said to J., the above, and J.'s summary on the other thread, are pretty close to the same conclusion that Michael Shermer comes to in "The Science of Good and Evil" after examining 7 or 8 arguments in favor of free will. I recommend giving it a read if you haven't before. You still may not agree, but it's an interesting analysis.
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In complexity theory, it isn't just the randomness of the world that makes it hard to predict, its also emergent behaviors of complex systems - basically, the interconnectedness of things and how structure evolves out of chaos in certain circumstances.
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The short form: the answer depends on assumptions within the question, and the assumptions required to call the question relevant to everyday life are way too restrictive to be useful in any definitive macroscopic way.
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Another interesting point is that there could never be a human or machine that could be certain of another person's actions, because said human or machine's own workings would be a part of the physical system that is affecting the human it is trying to predict. Said human or machine would then have to be able to predict its own behavior, which is classic Halting Problem material. Even if we are more or less deterministic, I'm guessing predicting our actions is not computable.